Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004589 0.005184 0.005860 0.006692 0.007699 0.008890 0.010427
2025-12-14 0.003723 0.004459 0.005370 0.006603 0.008272 0.010512 0.013867
2025-12-21 0.003329 0.004154 0.005237 0.006814 0.009140 0.012612 0.018559
2025-12-28 0.003091 0.003985 0.005220 0.007130 0.010175 0.015192 0.025032
2026-01-04 0.002847 0.003764 0.005081 0.007219 0.010854 0.017378 0.031892
2026-01-11 0.002615 0.003527 0.004876 0.007155 0.011244 0.019154 0.038934
2026-01-18 0.002442 0.003353 0.004740 0.007171 0.011765 0.021343 0.048477
2026-01-25 0.002259 0.003144 0.004520 0.007004 0.011896 0.022747 0.057037
2026-02-01 0.002073 0.002914 0.004243 0.006693 0.011672 0.023264 0.063335
2026-02-08 0.001909 0.002707 0.003983 0.006379 0.011382 0.023533 0.069150
2026-02-15 0.001833 0.002631 0.003936 0.006455 0.011944 0.026231 0.088068
2026-02-22 0.001731 0.002506 0.003792 0.006325 0.012018 0.027612 0.103161
2026-03-01 0.001616 0.002361 0.003612 0.006126 0.011953 0.028780 0.120978
2026-03-08 0.001530 0.002257 0.003498 0.006051 0.012188 0.031094 0.152958
2026-03-15 0.001488 0.002224 0.003509 0.006237 0.013139 0.036505 0.232492
2026-03-22 0.001461 0.002215 0.003560 0.006516 0.014433 0.044354 0.403904
2026-03-29 0.001412 0.002162 0.003524 0.006594 0.015186 0.050674 0.653730
2026-04-05 0.001352 0.002086 0.003436 0.006538 0.015519 0.055368 0.996842
2026-04-12 0.001304 0.002029 0.003380 0.006552 0.016088 0.062061 1.785006
2026-04-19 0.001244 0.001945 0.003265 0.006405 0.016082 0.065453 2.783308
2026-04-26 0.001176 0.001843 0.003105 0.006130 0.015574 0.065229 3.531392
2026-05-03 0.001111 0.001746 0.002950 0.005852 0.015003 0.064277 4.292107
2026-05-10 0.001084 0.001716 0.002931 0.005919 0.015707 0.073483 14.271943